Sports betting are often very profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that wise money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a best illustration. We analyzed typically the Western Va vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had often the edge in the game. Yet , We also understood that there were a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This sport offers all the signs of being one of the ideal games associated with the year, using both equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming back from staying down huge in the independence day 1 fourth to winning within overtime, however,.
So what’s the overall game look like this year?
When this match were being played in a new simple field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. เว็บพนันบอล -2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.
These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, this added in added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like significantly, but in a shut match-up like this, that excess point could make the difference between a good push together with a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home games.
Together with if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since January 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game in the home, while averaging only quitting 15. 7 points per game on home. In case anyone did not do the math concepts, that means given that his or her last home damage they have already averaged beating his or her adversaries by about thirty four items per game.
What’s more outstanding, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by way of 13 details per video game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s the way…
The majority of those stats had been developed during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to got recent games in which they also have only scored twenty eight, twenty-three, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
In essence the fact that this is still the close video game to call. Although what I look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest recommendation is usually to lay off that game and not really wager at all. There will be better games this end of the week with more clear-cut positive aspects.
The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain a new punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s fringe was not so big which they may possibly still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular video game, people serious regarding gambling saved money these people can put to better work with on approaching games.