Sports betting can be extremely profitable if a person know the tricks this “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a great example. We analyzed the particular Western Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Florida had the edge in the video game. Nonetheless We also understood that there are a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Florida versus Louisville
This video game provides all the signals of being one of the very best games associated with the year, having equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming back from getting down big in the final 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
If this activity were being played at a good basic field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.
These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, typically the added reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like substantially, but in a close match-up this way, that extra point will make the distinction between a push plus a loss.
Louisville’s figures are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home activities.
Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your house since Dec 18, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for each game in your house, while hitting only quitting 15. 6 points for every game with home. In case anyone failed to do the mathmatical, that means due to the fact their very own last home damage they’ve averaged beating their particular opponents by way of about 34 details per game.
What’s more impressive, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by 13 points per online game at home since the year 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
Almost all of those stats were being built up during the 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They’ve acquired recent games that has they already have only scored 28, twenty-three, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
The bottom line is that will this is still some sort of close video game to phone. Nevertheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any factor to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off that game and not necessarily guess at all. There happen to be better video games this end of the week with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s border had not been so big that they can could still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this specific match, people significant regarding gambling saved money many people can offer better employ on coming games.